The World Bank projects Philippine GDP growth at 3.7% in 2026 – the weakest post-pandemic print and 1.3 percentage points below the government’s floor target. The number is not the story. What is running out of power beneath it is.
The Engine That Drove Philippine Growth for 30 Years Is Losing Power
When oil hit USD 100, Southeast Asia’s CFOs were already managing three simultaneous capital pressures: a structural shift to all-cash M&A, accelerating portfolio disposals and an AI investment pipeline blocked not by money but by talent. The Hormuz shock didn’t create the squeeze. It exposed it.
Indonesia faces MSCI review delay until November as investors wait on capital market reforms, Malaysia solidifies position as stable strategic hub attracting regional firms fleeing Singapore costs, Thailand accelerates EU FTA negotiations amid global volatility, Vietnam's aggressive FTA push into Middle East pressures Thai exporters, and Vietnam unveils sweeping financial overhaul targeting double–digit growth through 2030.
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